Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.004109 0.004320 0.004536 0.004775 0.005031 0.005298 0.005597
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.003691 0.004001 0.004331 0.004712 0.005140 0.005607 0.006158
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003505 0.003880 0.004292 0.004781 0.005349 0.005992 0.006781
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003327 0.003743 0.004211 0.004781 0.005460 0.006252 0.007254
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003163 0.003607 0.004116 0.004748 0.005518 0.006439 0.007638
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002997 0.003457 0.003991 0.004666 0.005506 0.006531 0.007898
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002861 0.003332 0.003888 0.004602 0.005505 0.006630 0.008165
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002773 0.003261 0.003844 0.004605 0.005585 0.006830 0.008567
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002617 0.003100 0.003682 0.004450 0.005453 0.006745 0.008581
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002551 0.003046 0.003652 0.004460 0.005532 0.006937 0.008977
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002534 0.003052 0.003695 0.004565 0.005738 0.007307 0.009638
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002449 0.002969 0.003620 0.004510 0.005726 0.007376 0.009871
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002373 0.002896 0.003556 0.004469 0.005733 0.007474 0.010155
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002295 0.002817 0.003483 0.004412 0.005714 0.007532 0.010384
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002269 0.002807 0.003498 0.004475 0.005864 0.007840 0.011005
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002221 0.002764 0.003468 0.004475 0.005924 0.008015 0.011432
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002165 0.002709 0.003419 0.004444 0.005937 0.008121 0.011750
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002095 0.002633 0.003341 0.004370 0.005881 0.008119 0.011892
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002035 0.002569 0.003276 0.004311 0.005847 0.008146 0.012082
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002000 0.002537 0.003254 0.004314 0.005904 0.008316 0.012520
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001916 0.002438 0.003136 0.004173 0.005737 0.008127 0.012331
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001887 0.002412 0.003121 0.004181 0.005799 0.008303 0.012787
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001888 0.002429 0.003164 0.004277 0.005998 0.008709 0.013673